9 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1330 186 Strength Momentum |
1235 65.8(3) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at West Mesa | 0.002 | 870 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1216 | 94% | |
08/26/15 | at Rio Rancho !! | 0.004 | 1461 | W 2- 0 | Better (+4) | 1511 | 29% | |
08/29/15 | Sandia | 0.007 | 1278 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1288 | 61% | |
09/02/15 | Eldorado | 0.012 | 1287 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 1192 | 60% | |
09/04/15 | at Cibola | 0.020 | 1381 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1321 | 39% | |
09/10/15 | Carlsbad | 0.048 | 1178 | W 3- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1288 | 73% | |
09/11/15 | Aztec ?? | 0.047 | 1158 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-4) | 1128 | 76% | |
09/12/15 | Hope Christian ! | 0.060 | 1348 | W 4- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1423 | 52% | |
09/15/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.078 | 1191 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1377 | 64% | |
09/19/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.145 | 1461 | T 2- 2 | Better (+1) | 1379 | 37% | |
09/25/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.264 | 1475 | T 0- 0 | Better (+2) | 1418 | 28% | |
09/29/15 | Aztec | 0.373 | 1158 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1278 | 76% | |
10/03/15 | Valley | 0.440 | 1023 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1311 | 88% | |
10/06/15 | Grants | 0.083 | 797 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1567 | 98% | |
10/08/15 | at St. Pius ? | 0.641 | 1282 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-2) | 1222 | 52% | |
10/13/15 | at Moriarty | 0.065 | 702 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1552 | 99% | |
10/15/15 | at Grants | 0.070 | 797 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1599 | 96% | |
10/17/15 | at Farmington | 0.923 | 1352 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1307 | 42% | |
10/22/15 | Moriarty | 0.291 | 702 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1410 | 99% | |
10/23/15 | St. Pius | 0.956 | 1282 | W 4- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1390 | 60% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1235, while
Albuquerque Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 1339
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page