2015 Season results for Albuquerque Academy (GV,5-5A)

9   1   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1330     186
Strength     Momentum
1235   65.8(3)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  12W   5L   3T 
District  5W   1L   0T 
Expected  13:   3+   4- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/24/15 at West Mesa 0.002870W 2- 0 Expected (-2)1216 94%
08/26/15 at Rio Rancho !! 0.0041461W 2- 0 Better (+4)1511 29%
08/29/15 Sandia 0.0071278T 1- 1 Worse (-1)1288 61%
09/02/15 Eldorado 0.0121287L 1- 3 Worse (-3)1192 60%
09/04/15 at Cibola 0.0201381L 1- 2 Expected (0)1321 39%
09/10/15 Carlsbad 0.0481178W 3- 2 Expected (-1)1288 73%
09/11/15 Aztec ?? 0.0471158L 0- 2 Worse (-4)1128 76%
09/12/15 Hope Christian ! 0.0601348W 4- 2 Expected (+2)1423 52%
09/15/15 at Los Alamos 0.0781191W 2- 0 Expected (+1)1377 64%
09/19/15 Rio Rancho 0.1451461T 2- 2 Better (+1)1379 37%
09/25/15 at Albuquerque 0.2641475T 0- 0 Better (+2)1418 28%
09/29/15 Aztec 0.3731158W 1- 0 Expected (-1)1278 76%
10/03/15 Valley 0.4401023W 3- 0 Expected (0)1311 88%
10/06/15 Grants 0.083797W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1567 98%
10/08/15 at St. Pius ? 0.6411282L 1- 3 Worse (-2)1222 52%
10/13/15 at Moriarty 0.065702W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1552 99%
10/15/15 at Grants 0.070797W 10- 0 Expected (+5)1599 96%
10/17/15 at Farmington 0.9231352L 1- 2 Expected (0)1307 42%
10/22/15 Moriarty 0.291702W 8- 0 Expected (+2)1410 99%
10/23/15 St. Pius 0.9561282W 4- 2 Expected (+1)1390 60%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1235, while
Albuquerque Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 1339
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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